{"id":1626,"date":"2021-05-19T06:36:11","date_gmt":"2021-05-19T06:36:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/?p=1626"},"modified":"2021-05-19T06:36:11","modified_gmt":"2021-05-19T06:36:11","slug":"cee-economies-are-expected-to-accelerate-throughout-2021-and-2022-at-an-average-pace-of-ca-4-3-annually-72872","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/cee-economies-are-expected-to-accelerate-throughout-2021-and-2022-at-an-average-pace-of-ca-4-3-annually-72872\/","title":{"rendered":"CEE economies are expected  to accelerate  throughout 2021 and 2022, at an average pace of ca. 4.3% annually"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>According to Colliers, a leading diversified professional services and investment management firm, Western European capital, particularly German and UK funds, was most active and responsible for ca. 50% of all volumes in Q1 2021 across the CEE region.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Kevin Turpin<\/strong>, Regional Director of Research | CEE, Colliers explains: \u201cAs the pandemic continues to impact on capital markets, CEE investment flows are down by almost 48% on Q1 2020, at ca. \u20ac2.0 billion. Despite the slow start, we currently estimate that CEE 2021 year-end volumes will accelerate to reach similar levels to 2020, of around \u20ac10.0 billion. Preliminary EMEA volumes are estimated to be down ca. 32% YoY\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Poland captured, ca. 65% of all volumes, followed by the Czech Republic and Hungary with 14 and 11% respectively.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_84 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/cee-economies-are-expected-to-accelerate-throughout-2021-and-2022-at-an-average-pace-of-ca-4-3-annually-72872\/#CEE_FLOWS_BY_SECTOR\" >CEE FLOWS BY SECTOR<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/cee-economies-are-expected-to-accelerate-throughout-2021-and-2022-at-an-average-pace-of-ca-4-3-annually-72872\/#CEE_INVESTMENT_VOLUME_GROWTH_RATES\" >CEE INVESTMENT VOLUME GROWTH RATES<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/cee-economies-are-expected-to-accelerate-throughout-2021-and-2022-at-an-average-pace-of-ca-4-3-annually-72872\/#Q1_2021_PRIME_YIELDS_12_MONTH_FORECAST\" >Q1 2021 PRIME YIELDS (%) &amp; 12 MONTH FORECAST<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/cee-economies-are-expected-to-accelerate-throughout-2021-and-2022-at-an-average-pace-of-ca-4-3-annually-72872\/#CEE_FLOWS_BY_ORIGIN_OF_PURCHASER\" >CEE FLOWS BY ORIGIN OF PURCHASER<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/cee-economies-are-expected-to-accelerate-throughout-2021-and-2022-at-an-average-pace-of-ca-4-3-annually-72872\/#KEY_ECONOMIC_INDICATORS\" >KEY ECONOMIC INDICATORS<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"CEE_FLOWS_BY_SECTOR\"><\/span>CEE FLOWS BY SECTOR<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Offices secured 50% of the total transaction volume, followed by Industrial and Logistics (28%) and Retail (11%). Pricing remained relatively stable overall, but further compression in the Industrial and Logistics sector is expected throughout the year, subject to transactional activity which will in turn rely on product availability.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"CEE_INVESTMENT_VOLUME_GROWTH_RATES\"><\/span>CEE INVESTMENT VOLUME GROWTH RATES<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>All countries in the region recorded year on year declines in volumes compared to the first quarters of 2020, except for Hungary, and 2019, except for Poland. Despite the slow start, investor sentiment suggests a strong pick-up in activity in H2, subject to progress with the pandemic and open travel.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Q1_2021_PRIME_YIELDS_12_MONTH_FORECAST\"><\/span>Q1 2021 PRIME YIELDS (%) &amp; 12 MONTH FORECAST<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>We have recorded very little movement in prime yields, primarily due to the ongoing lack of transactional evidence to support further shifts. \u201cOur view remains that while some shifts are inevitable, core, well performing assets should hold up well, with more pressure on secondary product. Due to the high levels of interest from investors in logistics assets, we expect to see further compression in this asset class\u201d adds <strong>Kevin<\/strong> <strong>Turpin<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"CEE_FLOWS_BY_ORIGIN_OF_PURCHASER\"><\/span>CEE FLOWS BY ORIGIN OF PURCHASER<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Western and Northern European funds have dominated the first quarter of 2021, accounting for 50% of volumes, with capital coming mainly from the UK and Germany. CEE domestic investors, consisting of mainly Polish, Czech and Hungarian capital, have also remained very active, particularly in their own respective domestic markets. While travel restrictions challenge the ability for many investors to view opportunities and dampen investment volumes, capital from Singapore and South Africa managed to deploy.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"KEY_ECONOMIC_INDICATORS\"><\/span>KEY ECONOMIC INDICATORS<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Subject to the pandemic being brought under control and allowing economies to function with less restrictions, CEE economies are expected to begin recovery throughout 2021 and 2022, at an average pace of ca. 4.3% annually. Unemployment rates have risen during 2020, although perhaps not as high as some would have expected. As a result, this has reflected well on the outlook for growth in retail sales, which will hopefully deliver some much needed positivity to retailers and the property sector.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>According to Colliers, a leading diversified professional services and investment management firm, Western European capital, particularly German and UK funds, was most active and responsible for ca. 50% of all volumes in Q1 2021 across the CEE region. Kevin Turpin, Regional Director of Research | CEE, Colliers explains: \u201cAs the pandemic continues to impact on [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1627,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":"","footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8],"tags":[289,299,62,2721,63,96,64,2731],"class_list":["post-1626","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-real-estate","tag-colliers","tag-colliers-international","tag-czech-republic","tag-emea","tag-hungary","tag-kevin-turpin","tag-poland","tag-professional-services"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1626","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1626"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1626\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1627"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1626"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1626"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1626"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}