{"id":1663,"date":"2021-07-02T09:32:17","date_gmt":"2021-07-02T09:32:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/?p=1663"},"modified":"2021-07-02T09:32:17","modified_gmt":"2021-07-02T09:32:17","slug":"residential-sector-on-the-rise-to-comprise-30-of-european-investment-volumes-in-this-new-cycle-42804","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/residential-sector-on-the-rise-to-comprise-30-of-european-investment-volumes-in-this-new-cycle-42804\/","title":{"rendered":"Residential sector on the rise to comprise 30% of European investment volumes in this new cycle"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li>Despite regulatory and market challenges, lack of supply, rising rents and strong demographic fundamentals set to expand residential sector<\/li>\n<li>Investors flocking to residential housing as a safe-haven asset, given the diversity of options and strong fundamentals supporting investor expansion<\/li>\n<li>Housing prices in many major European capitals soaring due to supply-demand mismatch<\/li>\n<li>Demand to remain strong with continued household growth in major European cities<\/li>\n<li>Growing \u2018affordability gap\u2019 has led some governments to intervene in the market, creating uncertainty for investors<\/li>\n<li>Regional cities remain more affordable, with many attracting investor interest<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Colliers (NASDAQ: CIGI; TSX: CIGI), a leading diversified professional services and investment management company, has issued a new report <strong>European Residential: On the Rise<\/strong> examining the drivers behind mounting investor interest in residential properties in Europe\u2019s major cities. The report ranks major destinations in terms of their allure to investors and highlights the opportunities and risks emerging around an increasingly prominent asset class.<\/p>\n<p>With more and more Europeans seeking to live in renowned business, cultural and educational centres such as London, Paris and Amsterdam, and rising incomes lifting more families beyond qualifying thresholds for social housing, the underlying supply-demand imbalance in most cities is resulting in house prices rising faster than average incomes.<\/p>\n<p>This \u2018affordability gap\u2019 means many younger city-dwellers are renting for longer than previous generations before stepping on to the property ladder. Additionally, more empty-nesters are entering retirement age, creating opportunities for investors to provide and expand the availability of rental and owner-occupied housing, including in the build-to-rent, build-to-sell, private rented, co-living, senior and student housing sectors. A total of \u20ac60.7 billion flowed into the residential investment sector in Europe in 2020, an 18% growth in activity compared to the five-year average. The ubiquitous nature of the residential sector and the broad range of opportunities it offers will lead to a rise in market share of the \u2018beds\u2019 sector relative to other commercial real estate types, reaching 30% of investment volumes in this new cycle as activity expands and deepens across European countries and cities.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cGiven the underlying demographic and market dynamics, investors are increasingly seeing residential property as a relatively stable, defensive asset class amidst the huge disruption to economies and behavioural patterns caused by the pandemic,\u201d said <strong>Richard Divall<\/strong>, Colliers\u2019 director and EMEA Head of Cross-border Capital Markets. \u201cMore and more pension, insurance and private equity funds are increasing their allocations to what looks set to remain a compelling opportunity for the long term, especially given the turbulence of the past year and the uncertain outlook for many other asset classes.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>According to Colliers research, Paris, London, Amsterdam, Munich and Manchester rank as the five least-affordable cities for owner-occupiers, in terms of the cost of floor space relative to average local income levels. Buyers can almost double the amount of space they can afford in the likes of Dusseldorf, Cologne, or Marseille relative to these cities. In Warsaw, based on average household incomes, the typical buyer can purchase three times as much residential floorspace as in Paris. This reinforces the attractiveness of these cities for the private rented sector, as the average age of first-time buyers widens to 34-years of age. Additionally, the relatively high cost of housing in these cities is also pushing investors into alternative secondary and emerging residential market destinations, where there is potential upside to capital values.<\/p>\n<p>Despite the broadly positive outlook the report makes it clear that residential investing is not without risks, as many governments move to address the affordability gap with measures to tame prices or new regulations favouring tenants. \u201cCities such as Berlin and Amsterdam have introduced new rules, sometimes in an unsustainable way, that have injected an element of uncertainty into residential investing,\u201d said <strong>Damian Harrington<\/strong>, Colliers\u2019 Head of Research in EMEA. \u201cInvestors are building their awareness of the political sensitivities around housing, and how these are likely to play out in policy terms. The optimal solution is to create more supply by supporting investment in development, rather than imposing regulations that reduce the willingness to invest and operate rental housing\u201d<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_84 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/residential-sector-on-the-rise-to-comprise-30-of-european-investment-volumes-in-this-new-cycle-42804\/#London_maintains_pole_position\" >London maintains pole position<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/residential-sector-on-the-rise-to-comprise-30-of-european-investment-volumes-in-this-new-cycle-42804\/#Regulation_creates_complexity_in_Berlin\" >Regulation creates complexity in Berlin<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/residential-sector-on-the-rise-to-comprise-30-of-european-investment-volumes-in-this-new-cycle-42804\/#Madrid_boasts_critical_mass_and_exciting_returns_prospects\" >Madrid boasts critical mass and exciting returns prospects<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/residential-sector-on-the-rise-to-comprise-30-of-european-investment-volumes-in-this-new-cycle-42804\/#Copenhagen_a_compelling_investment_prospect\" >Copenhagen a compelling investment prospect<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/residential-sector-on-the-rise-to-comprise-30-of-european-investment-volumes-in-this-new-cycle-42804\/#Warsaw_stands_out_among_emerging_cities\" >Warsaw stands out among emerging cities<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"London_maintains_pole_position\"><\/span>London maintains pole position<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>London\u2019s concentration of lucrative jobs, high-ranking universities and cultural assets, combined with the highest economic output density in Europe per sq km, help explain why it has the highest house prices of the cities analysed, at an average of \u20ac11,600 per square meter, although prices have been relatively stable since 2017. Brexit has emboldened its appeal to investors in residential property, as prices had remained flat until this year. Investor interest is undiminished, with investment volumes over the past five years more than 130% higher than the second city in the top 10, Berlin, and investor interest is expected to remain high as the United Kingdom\u2019s vaccination initiative and recovery from the pandemic is moving ahead of European counterparts.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Regulation_creates_complexity_in_Berlin\"><\/span>Regulation creates complexity in Berlin<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Berlin remains one of Europe\u2019s most attractive residential investment destinations, but the investment climate has been turbulent recently due to government efforts to close the affordability gap. Berlin introduced the Mietendeckel rent control law in January 2020, mandating rent reductions which came into effect in November 2020. However, in April 2021 the courts declared the Mietendeckel unconstitutional and this has resulted in investors regaining comfort and confidence in the Berlin market.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Madrid_boasts_critical_mass_and_exciting_returns_prospects\"><\/span>Madrid boasts critical mass and exciting returns prospects<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Spain has been hit hardest out of all European countries by the COVID-19 pandemic, resulting in an equally strong rebound in the economy for 2021 and 2022. This rapid return to growth, coupled with a limited shift in rents and yields in the past few years, points to a strong recovery backing growth in capital values and returns for investors. The potential scale of demand is also significant, given the average age of first-time buyers in Spain is 41yrs, much higher than the 34 years average for Europe.<\/p>\n<p>Rising population, recovery set to support Amsterdam residential market Amsterdam\u2019s population is forecast to rise by a further 123,000 over the next decade, reflecting the city\u2019s cosmopolitan culture and appeal as a base for corporate head offices, although demand for housing fell sharply in 2020 as COVID-19 deterred expat workers. Affordability is already an issue, with owner-occupied housing in Amsterdam being the third least affordable of the cities assessed by Colliers. The city has sought to address this by introducing stricter regulations, leading many investors to consider alternative cities in the Netherlands.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Copenhagen_a_compelling_investment_prospect\"><\/span>Copenhagen a compelling investment prospect<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Though prices in Copenhagen have increased rapidly in recent years due to a shortage of housing, residential assets in Copenhagen are still affordable in comparison to many of the other cities assessed. The Danish capital also encapsulates a high number of younger households and solid economic growth prospects. When combined with its familiarity and openness to overseas investors, it is one of Europe\u2019s most interesting residential investment opportunities.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Warsaw_stands_out_among_emerging_cities\"><\/span>Warsaw stands out among emerging cities<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Warsaw has long been split between owner-occupied housing and social rentals, but a new generation of younger, wealthier Varsovians is coming to appreciate the flexibility of private rental accommodation. Incomes and housing prices are rising sharply in Warsaw, creating opportunities for pioneering investors eager to enter a city that is rising in importance on the European and global stage.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhen it comes to residential sector, Warsaw can be perceived as one of the most important developing cities in Europe. Although currently almost the entire housing stock in Warsaw still consists of owner-occupied and municipal flats, due to the strong economic growth of Warsaw and the social changes taking place in it, the PRS market is clearly expanding, and the number of foreign investors interested in this segment is growing,\u201d comments <strong>Dorota Wysoki\u0144ska-Kuzdra<\/strong>, Senior Partner at Colliers, Director of Corporate Finance.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAlthough the <em>European Residential: On the Rise<\/em> report mainly analyzes the capitals of European countries, it is worth noting that the PRS segment in Poland is concentrated not only in Warsaw. We can observe an equally dynamic development of this sector in Wroc\u0142aw, Krak\u00f3w, Gda\u0144sk, Pozna\u0144 and \u0141\u00f3d\u017a,\u201d adds <strong>Dorota Wysoki\u0144ska-Kuzdra.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Despite regulatory and market challenges, lack of supply, rising rents and strong demographic fundamentals set to expand residential sector Investors flocking to residential housing as a safe-haven asset, given the diversity of options and strong fundamentals supporting investor expansion Housing prices in many major European capitals soaring due to supply-demand mismatch Demand to remain strong [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1664,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":"","footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8],"tags":[2801,178,2789,160,289,174,496,273,192,2767,2721,2690,166,70,314,73,177,2953,175,64,74,275,286,82,71],"class_list":["post-1663","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-real-estate","tag-amsterdam","tag-berlin","tag-beyond","tag-brexit","tag-colliers","tag-copenhagen","tag-covid-19","tag-damian-harrington","tag-dorota-wysokinska-kuzdra","tag-element","tag-emea","tag-gap","tag-gdansk","tag-krakow","tag-london","tag-lodz","tag-madrid","tag-nasdaq","tag-paris","tag-poland","tag-poznan","tag-richard-divall","tag-spain","tag-warsaw","tag-wroclaw"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1663","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1663"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1663\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1664"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1663"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1663"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1663"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}