{"id":5156,"date":"2026-04-28T20:18:24","date_gmt":"2026-04-28T20:18:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/?p=5156"},"modified":"2026-04-28T20:18:24","modified_gmt":"2026-04-28T20:18:24","slug":"polish-housing-market-enters-phase-of-stability-with-upward-price-bias-35781","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/polish-housing-market-enters-phase-of-stability-with-upward-price-bias-35781\/","title":{"rendered":"Polish Housing Market Enters Phase of Stability with Upward Price Bias"},"content":{"rendered":"

It will get more expensive \u2014 this is already the view of 55% of surveyed residents of Poland. According to the latest Real Estate Customer Sentiment Monitor<\/em>, prepared by Kantar for Otodom, hopes for a decline in housing prices over the next 12 months are now rare, with only one in eight respondents expecting such a scenario.<\/p>\n

This pessimism is strongly supported by market data. Year on year, from Q1 2025 to Q1 2026, average asking prices for new apartments in Poland\u2019s seven largest cities increased by 6.4%, a result almost twice as high as inflation. Poles also remain closer to the secondary market, while half of those active on the housing market are not looking for an investment opportunity or spectacular returns. They are simply buying for their own needs.<\/p>\n

Poles have become accustomed to the idea that housing prices are rising, or at least not falling. This is particularly visible in the largest cities. In Warsaw, the average asking price for a new apartment stood at PLN 19,300 per square metre in March, up 8.8% year on year. On the secondary market, the figure was PLN 18,500 per square metre, 1.7% higher than a year earlier.<\/p>\n

As Katarzyna Kuniewicz, Market Research Director at Otodom, noted: \u201cExpectations regarding housing price trends, which are a key factor in the purchase process, did not change quarter on quarter.\u201d<\/p>\n

Buyer preferences also remain stable. For 32% of respondents, it does not matter whether an apartment comes from the primary or secondary market, while 21% consider only new-build properties. Across the country, however, the secondary market still clearly dominates, indicated by 47% of surveyed Poles.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe stability of demand-side sentiment confirmed in the survey is surprising given the changes that took place in the housing market environment in the first quarter of this year. It seems that the outbreak of the conflict in the Middle East had the greatest impact, followed by rising fuel prices and concerns about a sharp increase in inflation. Although aggregated quarterly data make it difficult to find traces of fears caused by this conflict, the monthly survey on price expectations confirms that in February and March the share of respondents expecting housing prices to fall declined sharply,\u201d Kuniewicz explained.<\/p>\n

In March, only 10% of respondents expected housing prices to decline over the next year. This was 9 percentage points less than in December 2025.<\/p>\n

As Pawe\u0142 Jarz\u0105bek, Market Research and Analysis Manager at Otodom, added: \u201cAlthough the past month brought a general decline in belief in cheaper housing, men (18%) more often than women (15%) expect a market correction. The difference is small but telling \u2014 even the greater optimists on the housing market sound rather cautious today.\u201d<\/p>\n

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