{"id":6205,"date":"2026-07-09T13:20:58","date_gmt":"2026-07-09T13:20:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/?p=6205"},"modified":"2026-07-09T13:21:07","modified_gmt":"2026-07-09T13:21:07","slug":"business-sentiment-in-poland-improves-but-employment-costs-still-weigh-on-companies-16208","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/business-sentiment-in-poland-improves-but-employment-costs-still-weigh-on-companies-16208\/","title":{"rendered":"Business sentiment in Poland improves, but employment costs still weigh on companies"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In June 2026, the regional business confidence indicator, R-BCI, improved year on year in most of the analysed sections and voivodeships \u2014 most clearly in construction, where an improvement was recorded in 14 out of 16 voivodeships, and in accommodation and food service activities, where improvement was recorded in 13 voivodeships. Despite growing optimism, employment costs remain the most frequently cited barrier to business activity across all analysed industries, while companies currently base wage decisions primarily on their own financial situation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"ceo-kg26\">\n<style>\n.ceo-kg26{--ceo-navy:#131F49;--ceo-amber:#e67a2d;--ceo-bg:#f7f8fb;--ceo-line:#e2e4ea;--ceo-pos:#1f7a3d;--ceo-neg:#c0392b;font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;color:#1a1a1a;font-size:16.5px;line-height:1.65;max-width:900px;margin:0 auto;}\n.ceo-kg26 .ceo-kicker{display:inline-block;background:var(--ceo-amber);color:#fff;font-size:12.5px;font-weight:700;letter-spacing:.08em;text-transform:uppercase;padding:6px 14px;border-radius:3px;margin-bottom:14px;}\n.ceo-kg26 .ceo-h2{font-family:Georgia,serif;font-size:31px;line-height:1.25;color:var(--ceo-navy);margin:0 0 10px;font-weight:700;}\n.ceo-kg26 .ceo-dateline{font-size:13.5px;color:#7a8194;margin:0 0 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.ceo-h3{font-family:Georgia,serif;font-size:22.5px;color:var(--ceo-navy);line-height:1.3;margin:38px 0 14px;padding-bottom:9px;border-bottom:2px solid var(--ceo-amber);font-weight:700;}\n.ceo-kg26 p{margin:0 0 16px;}\n.ceo-kg26 .ceo-chart-box{background:#fff;border:1px solid var(--ceo-line);border-radius:4px;padding:18px 18px 12px;margin:14px 0 26px;}\n.ceo-kg26 .ceo-chart-title{font-size:15.5px;font-weight:700;margin:0 0 12px;color:var(--ceo-navy);}\n.ceo-kg26 .ceo-chart-wrap{position:relative;width:100%;height:360px;}\n.ceo-kg26 .ceo-tablewrap{overflow-x:auto;margin:8px 0 28px;}\n.ceo-kg26 .ceo-table{width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;margin:0;font-size:14.5px;min-width:560px;}\n.ceo-kg26 .ceo-table th{background:var(--ceo-navy);color:#fff;text-align:left;padding:11px 12px;font-family:Georgia,serif;font-weight:700;font-size:13.5px;}\n.ceo-kg26 .ceo-table th.ceo-num{text-align:right;}\n.ceo-kg26 .ceo-table td{padding:9px 12px;border-bottom:1px solid 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#f0d8c2;font-size:15px;line-height:1.55;}\n.ceo-kg26 .ceo-takeaways li:last-child{border-bottom:none;}\n.ceo-kg26 .ceo-takeaways li:before{content:\"\";position:absolute;left:0;top:15px;width:9px;height:9px;background:var(--ceo-amber);border-radius:1px;}\n.ceo-kg26 .ceo-method{font-size:13.5px;color:#5a5a5a;line-height:1.6;background:var(--ceo-bg);border-radius:4px;padding:16px 20px;margin:26px 0;}\n.ceo-kg26 .ceo-method strong{color:var(--ceo-navy);}\n.ceo-kg26 .ceo-foot{font-size:13px;color:#7a8194;margin-top:22px;font-style:italic;}\n@media(max-width:820px){.ceo-kg26 .ceo-kpi-grid{grid-template-columns:repeat(2,1fr);}}\n@media(max-width:600px){\n.ceo-kg26{font-size:15.5px;}\n.ceo-kg26 .ceo-h2{font-size:24px;}\n.ceo-kg26 .ceo-kpi-grid{grid-template-columns:1fr;}\n.ceo-kg26 .ceo-kpi-value{font-size:22px;}\n.ceo-kg26 .ceo-chart-wrap{height:300px;}\n.ceo-kg26 .ceo-table{font-size:13px;}\n}\n<\/style>\n\n<span class=\"ceo-kicker\">Business sentiment | Statistics Poland | June 2026<\/span>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_85 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/business-sentiment-in-poland-improves-but-employment-costs-still-weigh-on-companies-16208\/#Business_sentiment_in_June_2026_entrepreneurs_confidence_is_improving_but_employment_costs_continue_to_hold_companies_back\" >Business sentiment in June 2026: entrepreneurs\u2019 confidence is improving, but employment costs continue to hold companies back<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/business-sentiment-in-poland-improves-but-employment-costs-still-weigh-on-companies-16208\/#General_picture_sentiment_is_improving_but_remains_uneven\" >General picture: sentiment is improving, but remains uneven<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/business-sentiment-in-poland-improves-but-employment-costs-still-weigh-on-companies-16208\/#Which_industries_are_the_most_optimistic_today\" >Which industries are the most optimistic today<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/business-sentiment-in-poland-improves-but-employment-costs-still-weigh-on-companies-16208\/#Construction_strongest_year-on-year_improvement\" >Construction: strongest year-on-year improvement<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/business-sentiment-in-poland-improves-but-employment-costs-still-weigh-on-companies-16208\/#Barriers_employment_costs_still_in_first_place\" >Barriers: employment costs still in first place<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/business-sentiment-in-poland-improves-but-employment-costs-still-weigh-on-companies-16208\/#Wages_what_determines_pay_rises\" >Wages: what determines pay rises<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 class=\"ceo-h2\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Business_sentiment_in_June_2026_entrepreneurs_confidence_is_improving_but_employment_costs_continue_to_hold_companies_back\"><\/span>Business sentiment in June 2026: entrepreneurs\u2019 confidence is improving, but employment costs continue to hold companies back<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n<div class=\"ceo-kpi-grid\">\n  <div class=\"ceo-kpi-card\">\n    <div class=\"ceo-kpi-label\">Construction<\/div>\n    <div class=\"ceo-kpi-value\">14\/16<span class=\"ceo-kpi-unit\"> voiv.<\/span><\/div>\n    <div class=\"ceo-kpi-delta ceo-up\">R-BCI improved y\/y<\/div>\n  <\/div>\n  <div class=\"ceo-kpi-card\">\n    <div class=\"ceo-kpi-label\">Accommodation and food service<\/div>\n    <div class=\"ceo-kpi-value\">15\/16<span class=\"ceo-kpi-unit\"> voiv.<\/span><\/div>\n    <div class=\"ceo-kpi-delta ceo-up\">positive R-BCI<\/div>\n  <\/div>\n  <div class=\"ceo-kpi-card\">\n    <div class=\"ceo-kpi-label\">Employment costs<\/div>\n    <div class=\"ceo-kpi-value\">up to 95.4<span class=\"ceo-kpi-unit\">%<\/span><\/div>\n    <div class=\"ceo-kpi-delta\">of firms cite them as a barrier<\/div>\n  <\/div>\n  <div class=\"ceo-kpi-card\">\n    <div class=\"ceo-kpi-label\">Company financial situation<\/div>\n    <div class=\"ceo-kpi-value\">up to 100<span class=\"ceo-kpi-unit\">%<\/span><\/div>\n    <div class=\"ceo-kpi-delta\">main factor behind pay decisions<\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<h3 class=\"ceo-h3\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"General_picture_sentiment_is_improving_but_remains_uneven\"><\/span>General picture: sentiment is improving, but remains uneven<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>Since the beginning of 2026, the R-BCI indicator in most analysed areas of the economy has been stronger than a year earlier. In June, compared with the same month of 2025, improvement was recorded most often in construction, in 14 voivodeships; accommodation and food service activities, in 13; information and communication as well as transportation and storage, in 11 each; and manufacturing and wholesale trade, in 9 each. In retail trade, improvement was recorded in half of the voivodeships. In the short term, compared with May, the largest number of positive changes was seen in information and communication as well as accommodation and food service activities.<\/p>\n\n<div class=\"ceo-chart-box\">\n  <div class=\"ceo-chart-title\">Chart 1. Number of voivodeships with year-on-year R-BCI improvement in June 2026, by section (out of 16 voivodeships)<\/div>\n  <div class=\"ceo-chart-wrap\"><canvas id=\"kg26-chart-poprawa\"><\/canvas><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<h3 class=\"ceo-h3\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Which_industries_are_the_most_optimistic_today\"><\/span>Which industries are the most optimistic today<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>In June 2026, business sentiment remained optimistic primarily in accommodation and food service activities, where positive R-BCI values were recorded in 15 out of 16 voivodeships, with a record level of 38.1 in Podkarpackie. Sentiment was also strong in information and communication, with 13 voivodeships in positive territory and Podlaskie leading with a reading of 26.8, as well as in wholesale trade, with 12 voivodeships and Pomorskie leading at 9.0. The opposite situation prevails in manufacturing, where the indicator was positive in only three voivodeships \u2014 Mazowieckie, Podkarpackie and Ma\u0142opolskie \u2014 and in retail trade, where it was positive in only four voivodeships.<\/p>\n\n<div class=\"ceo-chart-box\">\n  <div class=\"ceo-chart-title\">Chart 2. Number of voivodeships with positive R-BCI in June 2026, by section (out of 16 voivodeships)<\/div>\n  <div class=\"ceo-chart-wrap\"><canvas id=\"kg26-chart-dodatni\"><\/canvas><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<h3 class=\"ceo-h3\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Construction_strongest_year-on-year_improvement\"><\/span>Construction: strongest year-on-year improvement<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>Among all sections, construction recorded the most widespread improvement compared with June 2025. R-BCI increased in 14 voivodeships, with the strongest growth in Warmi\u0144sko-Mazurskie, up 21.6 points, Lubuskie, up 18.1 points, and Lubelskie, up 13.4 points. In June 2026 itself, the most optimistic sentiment was recorded in Podlaskie, with an R-BCI of 10.9, Pomorskie, at 5.6, and Dolno\u015bl\u0105skie, at 5.4. Despite the improvement, construction companies continued to report declines in construction and assembly output and in the number of orders, although assessments of companies\u2019 financial situation improved year on year in most regions.<\/p>\n\n<h3 class=\"ceo-h3\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Barriers_employment_costs_still_in_first_place\"><\/span>Barriers: employment costs still in first place<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>Across all seven analysed sections, employment costs remain the most frequently cited barrier to business activity. Their importance varies by region. In June 2026, the highest share of firms identifying this barrier was recorded in transportation and storage in Opolskie voivodeship, at 95.4%, and in accommodation and food service activities in Wielkopolskie, at 94.3%. In many regions, however, the importance of this barrier declined year on year \u2014 for example, in construction in Podkarpackie it fell by 11.6 percentage points. The second most frequently cited barrier remains uncertainty about the general economic situation, particularly acute in wholesale trade and transportation.<\/p>\n\n<div class=\"ceo-chart-box\">\n  <div class=\"ceo-chart-title\">Chart 3. Highest share of firms citing employment costs as a barrier, June 2026 (by section, maximum among voivodeships)<\/div>\n  <div class=\"ceo-chart-wrap\"><canvas id=\"kg26-chart-bariery\"><\/canvas><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<h3 class=\"ceo-h3\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Wages_what_determines_pay_rises\"><\/span>Wages: what determines pay rises<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>In an in-depth survey, Statistics Poland asked entrepreneurs what, in their view, would have the greatest impact on employee wage levels over the next three months. Across all seven sections and in most voivodeships, the most frequently selected answer was the company\u2019s financial situation. In manufacturing and wholesale trade, this factor was indicated in June as the most important in 100% of the surveyed voivodeships, and its importance also increased there year on year. The second most important factor remains maintaining the real value of wages, followed by maintaining competitive pay levels, which was indicated much less often than the first two factors.<\/p>\n\n<div class=\"ceo-tablewrap\">\n<table class=\"ceo-table\">\n<thead><tr><th>Section<\/th><th class=\"ceo-num\">Maximum share indicating \u201ccompany financial situation\u201d<\/th><th class=\"ceo-num\">Voivodeship<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr><td>Information and communication<\/td><td class=\"ceo-num\">100.0%<\/td><td class=\"ceo-num\">Podlaskie<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td>Transportation and storage<\/td><td class=\"ceo-num\">95.6%<\/td><td class=\"ceo-num\">Opolskie<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td>Wholesale trade<\/td><td class=\"ceo-num\">86.3%<\/td><td class=\"ceo-num\">Opolskie<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td>Accommodation and food service<\/td><td class=\"ceo-num\">83.2%<\/td><td class=\"ceo-num\">Lubelskie<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td>Manufacturing<\/td><td class=\"ceo-num\">80.7%<\/td><td class=\"ceo-num\">Podlaskie<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td>Retail trade<\/td><td class=\"ceo-num\">76.5%<\/td><td class=\"ceo-num\">Podlaskie<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td>Construction<\/td><td class=\"ceo-num\">73.4%<\/td><td class=\"ceo-num\">\u015al\u0105skie<\/td><\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"ceo-callout\">\n  <p>Improving business sentiment and the growing role of the <strong>company\u2019s financial situation<\/strong> in pay decisions go hand in hand. Entrepreneurs are increasingly raising wages when their own financial results allow it, rather than because of labour market pressure or the need to match competitors. This suggests a more defensive than expansionary approach to wage policy.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"ceo-takeaways\">\n  <div class=\"ceo-takeaways-title\">What this means for business<\/div>\n  <ul>\n    <li>Business sentiment is improving fastest in construction and accommodation with food service activities \u2014 sectors where companies may currently show a greater willingness to invest and hire.<\/li>\n    <li>Manufacturing and retail trade remain the most pessimistic sectors. R-BCI was negative there in the clear majority of voivodeships, despite the general improvement seen since the beginning of the year.<\/li>\n    <li>Employment costs are the common denominator of problems across the economy. Even in sections where sentiment is improving, they remain the main barrier to growth.<\/li>\n    <li>Companies\u2019 pay decisions are now driven mainly by their own financial condition rather than by the desire to maintain competitive wages \u2014 a signal that wage pressure in the labour market is weakening.<\/li>\n    <li>Regional differences are significant, ranging from extremely negative assessments in some voivodeships, such as retail trade in Opolskie with an R-BCI of -16.7, to record-high optimism elsewhere, such as accommodation in Podkarpackie at 38.1. Regional expansion policies should take these differences into account.<\/li>\n  <\/ul>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"ceo-method\">\n  <strong>Methodology:<\/strong> The business confidence indicator, BCI, is the arithmetic mean of the balances of answers to questions about the current and expected economic situation of an enterprise. It ranges from -100 to +100, where 0 indicates a neutral assessment. R-BCI is the BCI indicator presented at voivodeship level. The survey covers seven PKD\/NACE sections: manufacturing, construction, wholesale trade, retail trade, transportation and storage, accommodation and food service activities, and information and communication. The data come from a study prepared by the Statistical Office in Zielona G\u00f3ra, Lubuskie Centre for Regional Surveys, on behalf of Statistics Poland.\n<\/div>\n\n<p class=\"ceo-foot\">Source: Statistics Poland data, Business Tendency Survey. Voivodeship Report, June 2026. 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Despite growing optimism, employment [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5621,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"Business sentiment in Poland improved year on year in June 2026 across most analysed sectors and regions, according to Statistics Poland.\n\nThe strongest improvement was recorded in construction, where the R-BCI indicator rose in 14 out of 16 voivodeships, and in accommodation and food service activities, where sentiment was positive in 15 regions. Information and communication, wholesale trade and transport also showed signs of improvement.\n\nHowever, companies still point to employment costs as the main barrier to doing business. Wage decisions are now driven primarily by firms\u2019 own financial situation, suggesting that pay policy is becoming more cautious and less shaped by labour-market pressure.","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[5,15,7],"tags":[3132,64,134],"class_list":["post-6205","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-business","category-economy","category-reports-analysis","tag-cite","tag-poland","tag-zielona-gora"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6205","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6205"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6205\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5621"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6205"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6205"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ceo.com.pl\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6205"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}