Poland rose four places to 26th among 65 economies in Allianz Research’s ranking of energy-transition progress, but ranked 49th on current performance. The economy’s emissions intensity fell 36.6% between 2015 and 2025, while energy intensity declined 28.1%. A substantial gap with Europe’s leaders remains.
By Allianz Research. Polish original, published 8 November 2026.
Poland trails Germany, Czechia and Hungary on progress
Poland scored 26.47 on the Progress Score index, up 2.3 points from the previous edition. Germany ranked 12th with 36.18 points, Czechia 20th with 30.71 and Hungary 25th with 26.76.
Source: Allianz Research, Green Transition Tracker 2026. Index values, not percentage emissions reductions.
Two indices measure different aspects of the transition
Progress Score measures change since 2015 towards the targets set for 2050. Peer Score compares current performance across five areas: emissions intensity, energy intensity, production-based and consumption-based emissions per person, and the share of low-carbon electricity. A country catching up quickly can therefore rank highly for progress while remaining well behind on current performance.
Poland’s Peer Score was 51.5, placing it 49th, while Czechia ranked 44th with 54.2 points. Poland’s 26.47-point Progress Score is an index value, not a 26.47% reduction in emissions.
Emissions intensity falls by more than a third
Allianz Research reports that emissions per $1 million of GDP fell from 320 tonnes of CO₂ equivalent in 2015 to 203 tonnes in 2025, a decline of 36.6%. Energy intensity dropped from 3.2 to 2.3 petajoules per $1 billion of GDP, down 28.1%.
Source: Allianz Research, Poland country profile, p. 50.
Lower emissions intensity means producing the same value of output generates fewer emissions. Industrial modernisation, better energy efficiency, changes in the energy mix and a larger services sector can all contribute. Total emissions need not fall at the same rate, because GDP may grow at the same time.
Electricity generation accounts for a third of emissions
Allianz Research’s Poland profile attributes 33% of national greenhouse gas emissions in 2025 to electricity generation. Transport accounted for 21%, buildings 13%, agriculture 11% and industrial fuel combustion 8%. Fuel extraction and production, and industrial processes, each accounted for 7%.
Electricity’s large share makes changes in power generation central to emissions reductions. According to Poland’s Energy Market Agency (ARE), renewables’ share of electricity generation rose from 17.83% in 2020 to 31.41% in 2025, with renewable output increasing from 28.2 to 54.7 TWh. Figures from transmission system operator PSE, which use a different statistical scope, put the 2025 figures at 35.89% and 64.26 TWh; the two series cannot be combined without accounting for methodological differences.
Coal’s share of electricity generation fell from 55.3% in 2024 to 51.1% in 2025, while gas rose from 11.9% to 14.3%. Renewable expansion has thus coincided with greater use of gas-fired plants.
Renewables overtake coal worldwide
Allianz Research reports that renewables supplied 33.5% of global electricity in 2025, ahead of coal at 33.2%. Other sources together accounted for 33.3%. The shift marked a milestone for electricity generation, although overall greenhouse gas emissions continued to rise.
Source: Allianz Research using Ember data; other sources are the remainder to 100%.
Global greenhouse gas emissions growth slowed to 0.7% in 2025, from 1.5% in each of the previous two years, according to the report. Power-sector emissions fell 0.3%, while emissions in other sectors continued to increase.
Clean-energy investment forecast to reach $2.2 trillion
Allianz Research forecasts global clean-energy investment of $2.2 trillion in 2026, up 6.5% on the previous year. Investment specifically in renewable power generation is expected to fall from $690 billion to $665 billion. Spending on grids is forecast to rise 20.8%, and on energy storage by 35.9%.
Annual additions to battery storage capacity rose from about 2 GWh in 2015 to 307 GWh in 2025, the report says. Installation costs fell 91% over that period to roughly $140 per kWh. The investment figures for 2026 are forecasts, rather than totals for completed projects.
Current progress points beyond the 2050 target
Allianz Research estimates that, at the current pace, the world would reach indicator levels consistent with climate neutrality around 2064, and the European Union around 2057. These are projections based on the index methodology, not confirmed dates for reaching net-zero emissions. Progress Scores improved in 56 of the 65 economies in the latest edition.
Poland remains far behind Europe’s leaders despite its advance. Further progress will depend on changes in electricity generation, lower fossil-fuel use and better energy efficiency. Luxembourg led the ranking with 61.21 points, followed by Denmark with 53.61 and Estonia with 48.92.
Data sources: Allianz Research, Green Transition Tracker 2026 and Poland country profile (p. 50); PSE; Energy Market Agency; Ember. Charts prepared by CEO.com.pl using Allianz Research data.
